A tool for community-based assessment of the implications of development on water security in hillside watersheds

Development and population growth in Latin American countries with steep slope farming are likely to further increase pressures on water and land resources. A methodology was developed for assessing water availability and use under different development pathways at a watershed scale to determine whether water security is a potential problem, and if so, under what conditions it is likely to occur. This methodology makes use of a GIS-based spatial water budget model for simulating stream water availability, water use and stream flow control on a daily basis at a watershed scale. Here, we analysed water availability under three plausible development scenarios for the 3246 ha Cabuyal River watershed in southwest Colombia in the year 2025: Corporate Farming (CF), Ecological Watershed (EW), and Business as Usual (BU). Simulated average river flows at the watershed outlet were, respectively, 874, 796 and 925 l s⁻¹ for the CF, EW and BU scenarios. The contribution of base flow to river flow (base flow index) was on average, 80.8, 85.6 and 77.9%, respectively, for the three scenarios. The watershed had the potential to meet the anticipated increase in water use under each explorative scenario. However, dams were necessary to store irrigation water in the CF scenario, otherwise over 60% of the available water would have been used during the dry season. Such a high figure raises concerns about effects on aquatic and riparian ecology, concentrations of potential contaminants, water reserves for especially low rainfall years, and the watershed resilience to meet temporarily higher water needs during the day. Analyses indicated that current water-use conflicts in the watershed can be resolved if irrigation water supply is separated from drinking water supply. This study helped reduce some of the complexity associated with the interdependencies between land and water resources, the impact of using them, and spatial linkages within the watershed. Results of this study can be used for teaching local stakeholders about basic landscape responses and helping multi-institutional alliances to become proactive and to guide development to the benefit of local communities.     

小水电代燃料上网电价测算关键技术研究

围绕小水电代燃料上网电价测算的关键技术,对模型构建和系统实现两方面分别进行了探讨,在计算方法、计算流程、计算判别的边界条件和遵循的基本原则以及计算系统的总体结构和功能设计等方面进行了详细设计与实现,基本确定了较为合理的测算模型并完成了系统的程序开发,为政府部门评估小水电代燃料工程的可行性提供快速决策的依据.     

中小型水电站投资风险防范初探

＂十二.五＂期间,在我国水电发展的新形势条件下,投资者们面临着前所未有的机遇与挑战。在水电工程投资项目生命周期的全过程中,会出现各种不同的风险,如何去防范中小型水电站投资风险,使得投资回报率最高,是目前国内企业在投资中小型水电建设项目过程中所关心的问题。然而,对于水电站投资风险的控制研究,无论从理论还是实际出发,都比较少,一般都是依靠企业或者个人的工作经验。结合中小型水电站投资建设的特点及可能产生的投资风险,提供了几种防范措施。     

小样本情况下需水量预测模型研究

针对传统的GM（1,1）模型,分析了其预测结果与实际过程存在的偏差,通过GM（1,1）模型与自回归滑动平均模型相结合的方法以弥补偏差。以钦州市1999-2009年及2005-2009年城市供水总量这两组基础数据对本文所建模型进行验证,并利用此模型预测了钦州市2010-2018年需水量。通过与其他预测模型的对比,进一步证...     

基于LS-SVM的小水电站年发电量智能预测模型

针对小水电站年发电量序列的特点,将最小二乘支持向量机(least squares support vector machine,LS-SVM)回归模型引入年发电量预测领域,并给出了相应的过程和算法。与常规基于人工神经网络(artificial neural net-works,ANN)的智能预测方法比较,该模型优点是明显的:①将神经网络迭代学习问题转化为直接求解多元线性方程;②整个训练过程中有且仅有一个全局极值点,确定了预测的稳定性。最后,一个实际的预测例子表明:该模型实现容易、预测准确,适用于小水电站预测。     

基于GIS技术的小型水库规划方法

在小流域治理中，为了提高水库规划的精确度和速度，提出了基于GIS技术来实现小型水库规划的方法。主要是基于GIS技术的库客曲线的制作方法；小型水库规划的可视化。在GIS中，真实地形在计算机中的表达用数字高程模型(DEM)表示，水库规划的三维可视化环境的实现需利用0penGL技术。     

四个绵羊品种MHC-DQA1基因exonⅡ多态性分析

为了比较和揭示洼地绵羊、杜泊羊、小尾寒羊及特克赛尔绵羊4个绵羊品种MHC-DQA1基因的遗传多态性,采用PCR-RFLP技术对4个绵羊品种224个样本的MHC-DQA1基因exonⅡ的315 bp片段进行多态性分析;并对基因型频率和等位基因频率进行统计,运用Popgen32软件计算相应的遗传参数.结果表明,AluI-R...     

EVALUATION OF MAGNETIC RESONANCE SAFETY OF VETERINARY RADIOFREQUENCY IDENTIFICATION DEVICES AT 1 T

Implants containing metallic components have the potential to become heated or move within the patient while in the magnetic resonance (MR) environment. Despite containing a ferromagnetic core and having been in use for over 20 years, no information is available on the safety of veterinary radiofrequency identification devices during MR examinations. These devices are the most commonly encountered metallic implants in dogs and cats undergoing MR imaging. Three commercial veterinary microchips were evaluated for safety in the MR environment at 1 T. Parameters tested were translational force, torque, heating, artifact production, and function. Translation and torque were larger than that expected from normal activity under normal gravity. No significant heating was observed. Signal void artifacts may affect diagnosis if they are too close to the area of clinical importance. Microchip function was unaffected by routine clinical MR imaging. Capsule formation around devices is a major factor in counteracting translation and torque. Our findings support that is acceptable for patients to undergo MR imaging with this 1 T system following an interval of 3 months postimplantation to allow capsule growth. Because of the complex interactions involved, these observations may not be translatable to MR scanners of different field strength and/or manufacturer. Further safety testing of these and other radiofrequency identification devices is therefore recommended at different field strengths and equipment specifications.     

I型小肽载体的结构及活性调控研究进展

本文综述了I型小肽载体的结构特征及影响其活性的调控因素。     

豆粕固态限定发酵和强化发酵的研究

本文采用短乳杆菌、酵母菌、枯草芽孢杆菌和地表芽孢杆菌进行豆粕固态限定发酵和强化发酵的研究,对发酵过程中小分子蛋白含量、菌量、pH及胰蛋白酶抑制剂活性等进行了测定.结果表明:纯菌条件下,接种短乳杆菌和地衣芽孢杆菌实验组限定发酵的小分子蛋白含量分别为31.0%和28.3%,高于接种酵母菌试验组的22.4%.且小分子蛋白积累高峰时间为48～72 h;接种地表芽孢杆菌实验组的胰蛋白酶抑制剂降解率高于接种短乳杆菌或酵母菌实验组.豆粕天然发酵试验组的小分子蛋白含量和胰蛋白酶抑制剂降解率分别为22.2%和44.1%.接种短乳杆菌、地衣芽孢杆菌试验组的小分子蛋白含量和胰蛋白酶抑制剂降解率分别为32.4%、99.5%和29.3%、99.7%.表明接种强化发酵有助于小分子蛋白含量的提高和胰蛋白酶抑制剂的降解.